Elon Musk’s Neuralink Prepares To Implant Second Human Patient
Elon Musk’s brain implant company Neuralink will one day bestow “cybernetic superpowers” on people and allow them to control robots with their mind, the tech billionaire claimed Thursday, offering a futuristic and unrealistic forecast for the opaque company’s next steps after he delivered a rare update and revealed plans to implant a second human patient within “the next week or so.”
HOW ACCURATE ARE ELON MUSK’S PREDICTIONS?
Many of Musk’s predictions and updates are best treated with a healthy degree of skepticism. The billionaire is well known for his hyperbolic and often wildly optimistic predictions for the future directions of humanity, technology and the companies he leads and many of his past forecasts have proven to be way off base. Timelines and more advanced applications of technologies that are still in their relative infancy—such as brain computer interface implants, robotics and fully autonomous vehicles, or “robotaxis”—have been particular sticking points for Musk in the past and while controlling a robotic limb with superhuman speed or seizing Optimus with thought is theoretically possible, these will be a long way off into the future, particularly if being used for enhancement by a healthy individual, rather than as medical treatment. Similarly, Musk’s belief that Neuralink will help humans merge with AI is possible but a long way off in the future. Even for nearer-term applications like treating or curing paralysis, restoring sight to the blind—technologies Neuralink plans to market as “Telepathy” and “Blindsight”—or treating other neurological conditions like epilepsy, it is important to remember Neuralink’s technology is still considered experimental and has only been approved for use in closely monitored clinical trials. Even if everything goes to plan for Neuralink’s trials, which is far from guaranteed, commercial rollout for even limited use as a medical device is likely to be years away. Experts told Forbes company’s lack of transparency compounds the difficulties in assessing how Neuralink’s technology is developing and faring in the real world and updates are often selective, limited in scope and sparsely delivered over Musk’s livestreams and tweets.
WHAT TO WATCH FOR
Musk said Neuralink’s brain chip could be more efficient and powerful than its current model. It will double the amount of threads inserted into the brain from 64 in the current device to 128, with each thread having half the number of electrodes on each of them, down from 16 to 8, which should help boost efficiency if they’re placed well in the brain. Musk did not give a timeline for when such a device may be ready to be tested in humans or what Neuralink plans to do with it.
Source: forbes.com, Robert Hart